Saturday, December 21, 2024

Industrial & Warehousing sector records 21.9% annual demand growth in H1 2024: Savills India

The E-Commerce sector is gaining traction, with its contribution to overall absorption increasing from 3% in the H1 2023 to 6% in the H1 2024.

The Industrial and Warehousing sector witnessed robust absorption of 27.3 million square feet in the first half of 2024, reflecting a 21.9% increase year-over-year compared to the 22.4 million square feet absorbed in the first half of 2023, according to the latest findings by Savills India, a global real estate advisory firm.

The 3PL sector played a significant role, driving demand with a 33% share, followed by the manufacturing sector at 22% and the FMCG/FMCD sector at 17%. Notably, the uptake of manufacturing warehouses significantly contributed to the overall absorption. Tier I cities captured a dominant share of the absorption (78%), while Tier II and III cities accounted for the remaining 22%. The report further indicates that the sector witnessed a supply addition of 28.2 million square feet in the first half of 2024, with 77% concentrated in Tier I cities and the remaining 23% in Tier II and III cities.

Absorption (mn sq. ft) across cities

H1 2024H1 2023Y-o-Y change
Overall27.322.421.9%
Tier I21.417.423.0%
Tier II & III5.95.018.0%
Tier I (% of total)78%78% 
Tier II & III (% of total)22%22% 

Note: Tier I cities include Ahmedabad, Bangalore, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mumbai, Delhi-NCR, and Pune. Tier II and Tier III cities include Guwahati, Bhubaneshwar, Patna, Hosur, Coimbatore, Rajpura, Lucknow, Jaipur, Nagpur, Surat, Indore, Kochi, Hubli, Vizag, Belgaum and Anantapur.

Supply (mn sq. ft) across cities

H1 2024H1 2023Y-o-Y change
Overall28.227.42.9%
Tier I21.620.64.9%
Tier II & III6.66.8-2.9%
Tier I (% of total)77%75% 
Tier II & III (% of total)23%25% 

“The industrial and logistics sector is poised for significant expansion, driven by a robust demand landscape and bolstered by strategic government initiatives such as PLI & FDI Policies, PPP Models of various Public Sector Undertakings, The East Coast Economic Corridor (ECEC) and India Middle East Economic Corridor (IMEC), etc. This growth is substantiated by notable year-over-year increases, reaffirming the sector’s pivotal role in fostering economic vitality. Concurrently, the e-commerce sector is set to surge further as it adopts new models to expand urban distribution and extend its footprint into tier-II & III locations. Moreover, strong domestic consumption driving reduction of dependency on imports is increasing more & more manufacturing investments into multiple sectors and initiatives like the National Logistics Policy highlight substantial long-term growth opportunities, facilitating rapid technology adoption amidst evolving supply-chain dynamics.” – Srinivas N, Managing Director, Industrial and Logistics, Savills India.

Grade Wise Supply (%)

SegmentH1 2024H1 2023
 Grade AGrade BGrade AGrade B
Overall49%51%52%48%
Tier I52%48%54%46%
Tier II & III34%66%48%52%

Grade wise absorption (%)

SegmentH1 2024H1 2023
 Grade AGrade BGrade AGrade B
Overall39%61%53%47%
Tier I42%58%57%43%
Tier II & III27%73%42%58%

While the first half of 2024 saw a slight dip in the share of Grade-A space in both supply (49% down from 52% in H1 2023) and absorption (39% down from 53% in H1 2023), this is considered temporary. The growing focus on Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) standards among occupiers is expected to significantly boost demand for Grade-A space in the future. By the end of 2024, the contribution of Grade-A space to both overall supply and absorption is projected to exceed 60%.

Sector wise absorption (%)

 SectorOverall Tier I Tier II & III
 H1 2024 H1 2023 H1 2024H1 2023 H1 2024H1 2023
3PL33%44%31%44%39%40%
E-Commerce6%3%6%3%7%4%
Manufacturing22%22%26%22%7%22%
Retail7%13%8%13%3%10%
FMCG/FMCD17%6%17%4%18%15%
Other Sectors15%12%12%14%26%9%

Note: Other Sectors include space take-up by Cold Storage, Chemicals, FTWZs, ICDs, Agriculture Warehousing, Self-storage and Manufacturing Storage.

In H1 2024, 3PL sector accounting for 33% to total absorption witnessed in the country down from 44% of total absorption witnessed in H1 2023. This decline was attributed to reduced supply chain outsourcing to 3PL partners by FMCG/FMCD companies to reduce operational costs. As a result, the FMCG/FMCD sector contribution to overall absorption increased to 17% in H1 2024 from 6% of the total absorption in H1 2023. In addition, the demand for warehousing space by FMCG and FMCD occupiers is on the rise due to improved demand for FMCG and FMCD products in tier I, II, and III cities, as well as improved demand in rural markets.

The E-Commerce is also likely to witness a continued surge, it is adopting new business models for increasing urban distribution and extending the reach in tier-II & III locations. The growth in cities like Patna, Ranchi, Lucknow, Guwahati, Rajpura, Ambala, etc., has been remarkable.

The manufacturing sector’s contribution to overall absorption experienced impressive growth, increasing from 16% of total space absorption in 2022 to 22% in H1 2024. The sector has gained momentum with a host of incentive schemes, including the Production Linked Incentive Scheme (PLI).

The retail sector accounted for 7% of the overall absorption in H1 2024. The other sectors including cold storage, chemical storage, FTWZs, ICDs, and Urban Warehousing contribution was around 15% during the same period.

City wise Absorption (%)

Supply (%)Absorption (%)
 H1 2024H1 2023H1 2024H1 2023
Ahmedabad3%5%4%5%
Bangalore12%7%11%10%
Chennai13%10%7%9%
Hyderabad3%3%8%7%
Kolkata7%8%8%5%
Mumbai11%13%8%18%
Delhi-NCR17%19%20%14%
Pune11%10%12%10%
Tier II & III Cities23%25%22%22%

Among the major cities in India, Delhi NCR led the pack with the highest absorption in H1 2024 at 20% followed by Pune at 12%, Bangalore at 11%, while tier II & tier III cities accounted for 22% of overall absorption.  In terms of supply, Delhi NCR accounted for the highest contribution of 17% in H1 2024, followed by Chennai at 13%, Bangalore at 12%, Pune & Mumbai each at 11% and tier II & III cities together accounted for 23% of the total supply witnessed in H1 2024.

About Savills India:

Savills is a global property advisory firm headquartered in London with a network of more than 40,000 people in over 700 offices across the Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific, Africa and the Middle East. Savills India is a group company of Savills Plc. with full-service offices in Bengaluru, Mumbai, Delhi NCR, Chennai, Pune, Hyderabad, Ahmedabad and Kolkata. Savills serves occupiers, investors and developers of real estate with a host of services including leasing, advisory & transactions, project management, capital markets, valuations and research & consulting. These services cover various asset classes such as commercial, industrial, warehouses and logistics, data centres, and residential. For further information, please visit https://www.savills.in/

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