Wednesday, July 24, 2024

Rise in housing prices in Q2 2023: CREDAI – Colliers – Liases Foras

During Q2 2023, housing prices in India’s top eight cities increased 7% YoY. Over the last 10 quarters, there has been a consistent upward trend in housing prices across the country led by robust demand.

Housing prices across the top eight cities1 in India increased 7% YoY amid robust housing demand backed by continued positive homebuyer sentiment and stable interest rates. Kolkata recorded the highest increase in residential prices at 15% YoY, followed by Delhi NCR and Hyderabad with 14% and 13% YoY increase respectively. Fueled by a continued desire for home ownership and stable interest rates, coupled with growth in disposable incomes, housing demand is poised for steady growth even amid unprecedented global economic headwinds.

Boman IraniPresident of CREDAI National stated,

“The ongoing momentum in quantum of sales across the country is a clear reflection of positive homebuyer sentiments and validates the conducive nature of the market. We’re also witnessing record breaking numbers due to the pent-up demand from covid and despite the price rise, we expect this trend to continue for the rest of the fiscal year – on the back of a relatively stabilized repo rate and lending eco-system. Additionally, the upcoming festive season will help in further boosting the sales and sustain the momentum through the start of 2024.”

In tandem with sales, top markets have also seen heightened activity in new launches in the past few quarters. As a result, unsold inventory expanded by 13% YoY Pan India. Noteworthily, Delhi NCR witnessed a drop in unsold inventory levels at 7% YoY, signaling a consistent revival in market fundamentals. With increased demand for spacious dwellings, developers continue to launch high-end projects, which has pushed housing prices for under construction units northwards in markets like Kolkata, Hyderabad, Delhi NCR and Bengaluru. 

“Over the last 10 quarters, there has been a consistent upward trend in housing prices across the country. With repo rate stabilizing since February 2023 at 6.5%, homebuyers‘ sentiments remain positive due to greater visibility on monthly EMIs. While developers continue to grapple with the challenges of higher costs of construction, housing demand remains unwavered. Housing demand is likely to further accelerate in the next few quarters led by the upcoming festive season and continued preference for home ownership,” 

 said Peush Jain, Managing Director, Occupier Services, Colliers India.

Pan India residential prices Q2 2023 (in INR/sq ft) –

City Average Price Q2 2023QoQ Change  YoY Change
 Ahmedabad 6,507  3%10% 
 Bengaluru 8,688 -1% 10%
 Chennai 7,653 3% 6%
 Delhi NCR 8,652 3% 14%
 Hyderabad 10,530 1% 13%
 Kolkata 7,315 1% 15%
 MMR 19,111 -1% -3%
 Pune 8,540 2% 11

Source: Liases Foras, Colliers

All the prices are based on carpet area

“Factors like improved infrastructure, enhanced connectivity, rising disposable income, and government incentives have fueled housing demand across Indian cities. While most cities saw double-digit price increases during Q2 2023, Delhi NCR is consistently seeing an uptick in housing prices for the past 12 quarters. Notably, the newly developed Dwarka Expressway and the upcoming 50 km 6-lane highway in Delhi NCR are expected to further drive demand in Gurugram, Ghaziabad and Noida. Amidst other major cities, prominent micro-markets in MMR saw a price rise of 3-5% YoY,”

said Vimal Nadar, Senior Director and Head of Research, Colliers India.

Highest housing price rise in Kolkata at 15% YoY, followed by Delhi NCR

In Q2 2023, overall housing prices in Kolkata witnessed a 15% YoY rise, highest across the top eight cities in India. Housing prices in the city have been on the rise over the past seven quarters. The recent surge in housing prices is owing to the rising demand boosted by positive government incentives such as extension of 2% reduction in stamp duty and extension of 10% reduced circle rates till September 2023. 

Just few paces behind Kolkata, Delhi NCR witnessed a 14% YoY rise in housing prices during Q2 2023. At the micro-market level, Golf Course Road and Dwarka Expressway witnessed the highest rise in housing prices at 46% and 40% respectively on YoY basis. Housing prices in Golf Course Road continue to surpass the prices of Delhi in Q2 2023 attributed to its improving connectivity and proximity to commercial office hubs in Gurugram, which have sparked a surge in demand for residential properties.

Unsold inventory drops 7% YoY in Delhi NCR; only city in Pan India to witness a drop

The unsold inventory in Delhi NCR dropped 7% YoY, resulting to be the only city in Pan India to witness a drop, indicating continued healthy market dynamics. Unsold inventory in Delhi NCR has been witnessing a drop for the last two quarters, signaling positive consumer buying sentiment. On the other hand, led by a spurt in new project launches, particularly in the Northwest suburb in Ahmedabad and Southwest micro market in Hyderabad, the two cities saw a surge in unsold inventory levels in by 26% and 24% respectively on YoY basis. Despite increase in unsold inventory, housing prices in both the cities have consistently shown a rise over the past few quarters. 

Housing prices in Bengaluru rise 10% YoY, amidst healthy demand momentum

Housing prices in Bengaluru surged 10% YoY during Q2 2023, with prices in Periphery and Outer West micro markets witnessing the highest rise of 42% YoY led by upcoming high-end projects. Housing prices of 3 BHK units surged the highest at 12% YoY followed by 2 BHK units owing to the rising demand for mid-segment residential properties. 

“The housing market has maintained its prudence and discipline primarily due to a high number of new launches over the last year, and momentum is continuous. Increasing supply has kept the price rise moderate and productive, drawing both the end user and long-term investors. Sales will likely continue to grow since the affordability and prices maintain parity”,

said Pankaj KapoorManaging Director, Liases Foras.

The Confederation of Real Estate Developers’ Associations of India (CREDAI) is the apex body of private Real Estate developers in India, established in 1999, with a vision of transforming the landscape of the Indian Real Estate industry and a mandate to pursue the cause of Housing and Habitat. Today, CREDAI represents 13000+ Developers across 221 city chapters in 21 states and plays an important role in policy formulation by representing the views of its members to various Ministries at regular intervals.

About Colliers
Colliers (NASDAQ, TSX: CIGI) is a leading diversified professional services and investment management company. With operations in 66 countries, our 18,000 enterprising professionals work collaboratively to provide expert real estate and investment advice to clients. For more than 28 years, our experienced leadership with significant inside ownership has delivered compound annual investment returns of approximately 20% for shareholders. With annual revenues of $4.5 billion and $99 billion of assets under management, Colliers maximizes the potential of property and real assets to accelerate the success of our clients, our investors and our people. Learn more at, Twitter @Colliers or LinkedIn.

About Liases Foras

Liases Foras, founded in 1998, is the only non brokerage real estate research company in India. Data and science form the core of its services, ranging from providing market intelligence and risk advisory to lenders and mortgage companies to providing development advice, best use, and valuations to developers, funds, banks, and corporations.

Liases Foras’s expertise lies in real estate pricing with a strong focus on understanding price dynamics and analyzing any underlying risks. 

Liases Foras is well acknowledged as leading real estate research and analytics consultant. Their clients have been hugely benefited from the robust database on real estate markets in India. The database is built using data collected since 2003 and covers 60 cities across India.

Liases Foras has an organized and structured data source on real estate projects, developers & their trends in India, which is updated every quarter through a primary market survey. 

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